Back to Scenario Planning

Cone of Plausibility

Explore probable, plausible, and possible futures

60-90 min
1
Set Time Horizon
2
Probable Scenario
3
Plausible Scenarios
4
Possible Scenarios
5
Backcast Timeline

Set Your Time Horizon

Choose how far into the future you want to explore. Different time horizons reveal different types of changes and uncertainties.

Time Horizon Guidelines

  • 5 years: Technology adoption, market shifts, policy changes
  • 10 years: Industry transformation, demographic shifts, climate impacts
  • 30 years: Generational change, infrastructure evolution, cultural shifts
Step 1 of 5